*** This article is written with the help of Google Translate… ***
59 ( -29 from the day before) new infections confirmed in Tokyo.
◆◆◆ Japan ◆◆◆
(Today)
Number of people infected nationwide : 219 ( -112)
Number of people deaths nationwide : 6 ( +1)
Number of people infected in Tokyo : 59 ( -29)
*( )= increase from the day before
(Cumulative)
Number of people infected nationwide : 80,831 ( +217)
Number of people deaths nationwide : 1538 ( +6)
Number of hospital discharges : 72,640 (+333)
*( )= increase from the day before
Number of seriously ill persons nationwide : 165 ( +1)
（Other）
Narita Airport Quarantine : 4 ( -4 / Total 1069)
*( )= increase from the day before
(*All of the above from 2020/09/23 37:38 / NHK NEWS WEB)
(Cumulative) * The following is up to 10 worst prefectures.
(*2020/09/23 37:38 / NHK NEWS WEB)
▽東京都 (Tokyo) 24,453人 (前日+ 59人)
▽大阪府 (Osaka) 10,205人 (前日+ 39人)
▽神奈川県 (Kanagawa) 6451人 (前日+ 11人)
▽愛知県 (Aichi) 5157人 (前日+ 14人)
▽福岡県 (Fukuoka) 5007人 (前日+ 1人)
▽埼玉県 (Saitama) 4470人 (前日+ 12人)
▽千葉県 (Chiba) 3675人 (前日+ 20人)
▽兵庫県 (Hyogo) 2616人 (前日+ 1人)
▽沖縄県 (Okinawa) 2376人 (前日+ 13人)
▽北海道 (Hokkaido) 1996人 (前日+ 12人)
*( )= increase from the day before
◆◆◆ World ◆◆◆
（Cumulative）
Number of people infected nationwide : 3,182万8,638 ( +31万0,183)
Number of people deaths nationwide : 97万6,341 ( +6,261)
Number of hospital discharges： 2,343万0,233 ( +28万9,555)
( All of the above from 2020/09/22 20:22 worldometers)
*( )= increase from the day before
The number of newly infected people in Tokyo was “less than expected” today!
However, I can’t say anything unless I wait for a week or two to see what the result of the four consecutive holidays will be, so I’m afraid …
Well, I will summarize
the breakdown of the number of new infections in Tokyo + α …!
Out of [59] new infections in Tokyo
・Today’s newly infected people are men and women in their under10 to 80s
・[26] people is in their 20s to 30s
(about 44% of the total)
・[29] people is in their 40s to 50s
(about 29% of the total)
*under10 : [1] persons
*10s : [3] persons
*20s : [10] persons
*30s : [16] persons
*40s : [14] persons
*50s : [3] persons
*60s : [4] persons
*70s : [7] persons
*80s : [1] persons
*90s : [0] persons
*over100 : [0] persons
・ [1] person is
in 『the entertainment district at night』
→Employees and guests such as host clubs and cabaret clubs
・Infection at home [8] people
・Infection at office [5] people
・Infection at a dinner with friends and acquaintances [N/A] people
・Infection in the facility [10] people
・Infection via other routes [N/A] people
・ The person in charge of the city said, “Until yesterday, there are few tests for 4 consecutive holidays, so the number of “59” is not helpful. People infected during the holidays will come out next week, so you need to watch carefully.”
・Mass nosocomial infection at “Ome Municipal General Hospital” in Ome City do not stop… 5 people have been confirmed to be infected today, bringing the total to 52 people…
・On days when the number of newly infected people in Tokyo is small, I feel that only the numbers in their 20s to 60s will change blatantly.(For other generations, the number of infected people does not change much on days when the number of newly infected people is high or low)
・The “number of inspections on September 20” in Tokyo announced today was [1018] times.
(* Government of Tokyo thinks that it will take 3 days for the test results to be counted in the number of infected people, so the number of tests announced will be “the number of tests 3 days ago” …)
(* The number of tests in Tokyo is about [5000] on weekdays and [1000] on Sundays.)
*** Information on people under medical treatment in Tokyo ***
Number of hospitalized ： 1258 ( +26)
Number of seriously ill ： 28 ( -2)
Home medical treatment ： 432 ( -39)
Hotel medical treatment ： 216 ( -23)
Adjusting for “hospitalization or hotel or home treatment” ： 304 ( -103)
People discharged from hospital or
those who have completed medical treatment at home： 21,851 ( +197)
*( )= increase from the day before
Net increase in infected people in Tokyo
＝ (Number of new infections)
－ (Number of people who completed medical treatment)
－ (Number of deaths)
＝ 59 － 197 － 1
＝ -139 people
Estimated total number of infected people in Tokyo as of today
＝ (Number of positives)
－ (end of medical treatment period such as discharge)
－ (Number of deaths)
＝ 24,453 － 21,851 － 392
＝ 2,210 people
*Tokyo currently has 8 facilities for infected people
(Capacity of 2400 people)
* A hospital in Tokyo has secured 2350 beds (+150 beds for critically ill patients).
→ Aim to secure 2,700 beds.
* In addition, we will open two specialized hospitals from September to October, and plan to add another 200 beds.
*The hotels are that,
“the b Hachiouji”, “the b Ikebukuro”, “DayniceHOTEL Tokyo”,
“Toyoko INN Shinjukukabukicho”, “Toyoko INN Tokyo Station Shinoohashimae”
“Shinagawa Prince Hotel (East Tower)”,
“APA Hotel Asakusa Taharamachi Ekimae (8/13 added)”,
“Tokyo Toranomon Tokyu REI Hotel (8/17 added)”
*The source of the total number of infected persons is from 東京都
・Rich contacts [31] people
(about 53% of the total)
・Unknown infection route [28] people
(about 47% of the total)
・Quarantine at the airport
Arriving at Narita/Kansai Airport,
→Men and Woman from The United States, The Philippine, China, Montenegro [4] persons
*Since the number of new infections in Tokyo seems to be almost the number of the previous day,
(Because the deadline for the number of new infections on the day is from 9:00 am the day before to 9:00 am on the day)
And also today, I will summarize some prefectures that have a high number of infected people, not just in the Tokyo area.
*** Saitama ***
・New infections are [12] people
→Jurisdiction of Saitama Prefectural Office [10] people
Saitama City [1] person
Kawaguchi City [1] person
Koshigaya City [0] person
Kawagoe City [0] person
*** Kanagawa ***
・New infections are [11] people
→Nosocomial infection at “Totsuka Kyoritsu Hospital 1” in Yokohama City [2] people
*Cumulative 21 people
*** Chiba ***
・New infections are [20] people
→Colleagues at a food factory in Tokyo who had a barbecue with a colleague on September 9 [3] people
Chiba Prefecture has decided to business suspension request for restaurants that do not follow the guidelines of industry groups to close after 8 am on August 8.
Targets are karaoke shops and restaurants with entertainment.
*** Osaka ***
・New infections are [39] people
→There is no information today…
*** Aichi ***
・New infections are [14] people
→Nosocomial infection at a medical institution in Handa City [1] person
*Cumulative 12 people
*** Okinawa ***
・New infections are [6] people
→US military base： [0] persons
*Cumulative 403 US military personel
*Not included in the number of infected people in Okinawa
*** Fukuoka ***
・New infections are [1] people
(*NHK NEWS WEB)
This is what I should tell you today!
↑ The title of the article is scary, but the content can be summarized as follows.
According to Professor Dale Fisher, a professor of infectious diseases at the National University of Singapore,
“The effectiveness of the first vaccine approved in Europe and the United States is likely to be only 50% to 60%, and the vaccine is only one of the means to suppress the pandemic.”
To be honest, it’s hard to understand even if we read it, right? lol
I thought,
“Vaccine effectiveness? How effective is the vaccine? I don’t know, but I wonder if about 50% means that vaccines don’t make much sense …?”
I’m not sure, but the usual “mysterious mission sensor” responded quite a bit, saying, “For the time being, this content must be introduced in a summary article!” (lol), so I’ve researched it ! (LOL)
The first thing I don’t really understand is “effectiveness”, but “effectiveness” is basically the “property” of “whether it works or not”, and it was not shown in %!
Instead, there is an “effective rate”, which is “the percentage of people who could be prevented from developing the disease by vaccination”, so it is probably this one.
And the “effective rate”, by the way, it seems that the “effective rate” of influenza vaccines that everyone knows as “influenza vaccination” in Japan is about 60%!
* Briefly,
When there is no vaccine → If 50 out of 100 people are infected
Effective rate 60% with vaccine → 50 people x 60% = 30 people do not have to be infected
As I mentioned before like follows,
Influenza vaccines should
(1) only have the effect of preventing aggravation when they develop, and
(2) “have no preventive effect“,
but even so, this “effective rate” seems to be as high as 60%!
(I was surprised to find out)
In that case, if it is a new coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine that has a preventive effect,
“Isn’t it more than enough if the“effective rate” is 50% to 60% ?! Moreover, it is at least as effective as influenza vaccination !?”
I’m starting to think that…
And as mentioned in this summary I introduced earlier,
Considering “herd immunity” (that if ○% of passers-by have immunity, the infectious disease will converge), it is said that if 60% of people have immunity, “herd immunity can be obtained”.
Therefore, if 60% of the population has immunity to the new coronavirus,
herd immunity can be obtained = the new coronavirus can be controlled …!
That … wait …?
Even so,
“The effectiveness of the first vaccine approved in Europe and the United States is likely to be only 50% to 60%, and the vaccine is only one of the means to suppress the pandemic.”
↑50% to 60% … isn’t it more than enough …?
The conclusion is that! (Lol)
*Related Pages:(Data for November 2019)
6歳未満児におけるインフルエンザワクチンの有効性:2013/14～2017/18シーズンのまとめ（厚生労働省研究班報告として） – NIID国立感染症研究所
I’m really sorry that the content became long and difficult!
I intended to introduce a simple article, but I searched for it with a super maniac!
However, it’s the exact opposite of “the direction they want to convey in the original article”,
and that article is what we have hope! lol
It was such an introduction!
↑ As is the case, there were many difficult articles today, so I’ll summarize them roughly and quickly …!
First of all, there are two articles about “Avigan”!
(1) “Abigan” is now on sale at Russian pharmacies
(although a doctor’s prescription is required)!
It means that 50 tablets cost 18,000 yen!
(* Although it is a generic drug of Avigan, it is expensive … bitter smile)
It has been recognized by Russia, “Abigan”!
Why isn’t it approved in Japan, the country where it was made …
And
(2) It seems that the “Abigan” will be applied for approval in Japan by the end of October next month!
The results of the clinical trial of 156 people aged 20 to 74 were as follows.
・ Until the PCR test becomes negative … Usually 14.7 days → Avigan reduced 11.9 days by 3 days
・ There were no side effects other than the known renal and liver dysfunction.
(* There was no new concern about safety)
is what they said!
Russia is already lined up in ordinary pharmacies… (Mumble …)
(lol)
And there are two overseas topics!
August unemployment rate is 8.4% across the United States
What a worst 16% in New York City
That is said in the article…
Isn’t it too scary that one in five or six people is unemployed? .. .. ??
And in England
Since the number of newly infected people per day exceeds 4000 and the infection is spreading again, it seems that new measures will be introduced.
・The restaurant will be closed until 10 pm (from September 24)
・The government was urging people to return to work on their office, but they changed their policy and requested to work from home as much as possible.
・Sports events with spectators were scheduled to be deregulated from October, but postponed.
・If this works, you may not need to lock down.
・These measures may last for “half a year”.
We still can’t feel relieved in Japan, but it’s a difficult situation overseas…
And finally here!
About this ↓ that I told you the other day
(From the summary on September 22nd)
According to US authorities,
“the new coronavirus can spread through droplets and fine particles in the air.”
… but
everyone know that …
Because we don’t know how long coughing or sneezing aerosols (particles that float in the air for a long time) will continue to fly, and it is said that they can reach up to 6m depending on the conditions, not just 1m, so “airborne infection” … Yeah, we know.
That’s why everyone is saying that EVERYONE have to be careful! (Angry)
I thought while reading the article. (lol)
CDC(Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) said,
“I have mistakenly posted the original draft of the document regarding recommendations regarding airborne infections such as aerosols. I am currently reviewing it and will announce it again when the review is complete.”
The original plan (the base of what was originally planned to be released) seems to be correct…right?
By the way, WHO (= World Health Organization) also seems to report that “evidence showing the possibility of aerosol infection is beginning to appear”.
Or rather, as a rule of thumb, we think that “airborne infection” is already common sense …
It was such a correction (?) Article!
And as for the information on vaccines and therapeutic drugs that I always post, “The past flow of Vaccine development and therapeutic drug” and “How much are currently secured, and when vaccines will be supplied to Japan” etc. are summarized!
“Vaccine” solves this “new coronavirus (COVID-19) infectious disease” fundamentally, so if you have time, please read it!
By the way, there was also such information related to above ↓
The news of despair ran around on September 9th,
“The clinical trial of the new coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine under development by British pharmaceutical giant AstraZeneca and Oxford University, which is scheduled to be completed in September this month, is suspended.”
There was no follow-up report on major news sites such as NHK and Yahoo !, so I did some research and summarized this!
The result is … it looks reassuring! (lol)
So if you have time, please read it!
This was approved by the UK government authorities on September 13th, and clinical trials in the UK have resumed!
Also in Japan, according to the report on September 15, it has been decided that clinical trials will be resumed in stages from this week at the earliest in Japan!
Even if the clinical trials are completed in the UK and the vaccine is approved, we cannot be vaccinated unless it is approved in Japan, so I am really happy that the clinical trials in Japan will be resumed!
And this article↓
How long time the materials such as paper, cloth, plastic, etc. need to eliminating the risk when coronavirus is attached, and how effective disinfection is.
If you are interested, please take a look!
And here’s a trial calculation of how many people in Japan are actually receiving medical treatment.
(Number of people infected nationwide) 80,831
+ (Number of hospital discharges ) 1538
+ (Number of hospital discharges ) 72,640
= 6,653 people ← being treated
(If it is exactly as announced)
Today is back on weekdays and more than 100 people have decreased!
Before this “new coronavirus (COVID-19) infectious disease”, it was a “craft beer boom”!
I used to go to the beer bar too (laughs)
But this time it ’s not craft beer
I found an article about Shimane’s “Craft Coke”!
I think the best drink in the world is cola, (lol)
so I wonder if there will be a “craft cola boom”! ??
(What’s that (article) closing …)
Isn’t it? Sorry for that… Lol
Please be very careful when you go out!
AcertainFox512
◆Changes in New Coronavirus Infection in Tokyo◆
| Aug | |||||||
| Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Total |
| – | – | – | – | – | – | 472 | 2187 |
| 292 | 258 | 309 | 263 | 360 | 462 | 429 | 2373 |
| 331 | 197 | 188 | 222 | 206 | 389 | 385 | 1918 |
| 260 | 161 | 207 | 186 | 339 | 258 | 256 | 1667 |
| 212 | 95 | 182 | 236 | 250 | 226 | 247 | 1448 |
| 148 | 100 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Aug | |||||||
| Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Total |
| – | – | 170 | 141 | 211 | 136 | 181 | 1087 |
| 116 | 77 | 170 | 149 | 276 | 187 | 226 | 1201 |
| 146 | 80 | 191 | 163 | 171 | 220 | 218 | 1189 |
| 162 | 98 | 88 | 59 | – | – | – | – |
| – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
*Unit: person (number of infected people on that day)
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