(8/21) Tokyo today about COVID-19 [Fixed Value]

  

 

 

***  This article is written with the help of Google Translate… ***

 

 

5074 ( -331 from the day before) new infections confirmed in Tokyo 

 

 

 

 

◆◆◆ Japan ◆◆◆

 

       

 

 

 

(Cumulative) * The following is up to 10 worst prefectures.

*( )= increase  from the day before

 

 

 (*All of the above from 2021/08/21 19:00 /  NHK NEWS WEB)

 

 

◆◆◆ World ◆◆◆

 

 

 

 

The number of infected people in Tokyo ended this week with the same number as the previous week …

 

I thought …but
today is Saturday, so when I calculate the total for the week … ↓

 

 

After all it has increased at all …

 

 

I think it was expected that this week would increase to some extent after the Bon Festival, but what will happen next week …
It’s going to be an important turning point for infection …

 

 

 

 

Meanwhile… How about the amount of people in the city in Tokyo…↓

(Around 15:00 on Aug 21, Shibuya Scramble Crossing, Tokyo)

 

 

Well, I will summarize

the breakdown of the number of new infections in Tokyo + α …!

 

 

 

 

[N/A] people is
  in 『the entertainment district at night』
  →Employees and guests such as host clubs and cabaret clubs

 

Infection at home         [1354] people
Infection at office         [242] people
・Infection in the facility    [89] people
Infection by eating out   [69] people
Infection via other routes [N/A] people

 

*Bed usage rate:         66.4% (←64.4%)
  for severely ill people: 68.9% (←69.6%) 
   *( )= Number of the previous day

 

(Individual infection information)

 ・ There are no information today…

 

 

 

*Tokyo currently has 16 facilities for infected people
 (Capacity of 6,240 people)

 

* A hospital in Tokyo has secured 5967 beds (+392 beds for critically ill patients).
 → According to national standards, the number of beds for severe cases was 1207. (*Yahoo!)

 

*The hotels are that,

the b Ikebukuro
Day Nice Hotel Tokyo * Ended May 31, 3rd year of Reiwa
Toyoko Inn Shinjuku Kabukicho * Ended June 30, 3rd year of Reiwa
Toyoko Inn Tokyo Station Shin-Ohashi-mae
East Tower (Shinagawa Prince Hotel)
APA Hotel Asakusa Taharamachi Ekimae * Ended March 31, 3rd year of Reiwa
Tokyo Toranomon Tokyu REI * Ended March 31, 3rd year of Reiwa
Toyoko Inn Fuchu Nanbu Line Minamitama Station * Ended April 16, 3rd year of Reiwa
APA Hotel & Resort Nishi-Shinjuku 5-chome Station Tower
APA Hotel Yamanote Otsuka Station Tower
Toyoko Inn Ikebukuro North Exit II
In front of APA Hotel Shinagawa Izumidakeji Station
In front of APA Hotel Pride Parliament Building
APA Hotel Higashi Shinjuku Kabukicho Tower
Tokyu Stay Takanawa
Hachioji Sky Hotel
APA Hotel Shinjuku Gyoenmae
Kichijoji Tokyu REI
Comfort Hotel Tokyo Higashi Nihonbashi
APA Hotel TKP Nippori Ekimae
Tokyo Pet-accompanied accommodation medical treatment facility

 東京都福祉保健局 ※1施設追加|東京都 ※宿泊療養について(施設名一覧あり)

※感染者総数試算のソースは東京都の『新型コロナウイルス感染症対策サイト』より

 

 

 

 

 

Quarantine at the airport

Case study Response
(arrival date)
age sex residence Behavior history Symptom
3664 Narita
(8/20)
Forties male Chiba prefecture Philippines Asymptomatic
3665 Narita
(8/20)
60s male Kumamoto Prefecture Fiji Asymptomatic
3666 Narita
(8/20)
20’s male Chiba prefecture Fiji Asymptomatic
3667 Narita
(8/14)
Forties male Saitama Myanmar Asymptomatic
3668 Haneda
(8/16)
30s male Tokyo France Asymptomatic
3669 Narita
(8/17)
Forties male Miyazaki prefecture United States of America Asymptomatic
3670 Narita
(8/20)
50s male Kanagawa Prefecture United States of America Asymptomatic
3671 Kansai
International Airport (8/20)
30s woman Nara Prefecture Philippines Asymptomatic
3672 Narita
(8/17)
10’s male Fukui prefecture Pakistan Asymptomatic
3673 Narita
(8/17)
20’s woman Tokyo Costa Rica Fever
3674 Narita
(8/17)
60s male Saitama Indonesia Asymptomatic
3675 Narita
(8/17)
30s male Tokyo Indonesia Asymptomatic
3676 Narita
(8/20)
30s woman Tokyo United States of America Asymptomatic
3677 Haneda
(8/20)
20’s woman Kanagawa Prefecture Jamaica Asymptomatic
3678 Haneda
(8/20)
Forties male Undisclosed Spain Asymptomatic
3679 Narita
(8/20)
60s male Tokyo Cote d’Ivoire Asymptomatic
3680 Chubu
(8/17)
20’s male Fukui prefecture Philippines Asymptomatic
3681 Chubu
(8/20)
50s woman Aichi prefecture Philippines Asymptomatic
3682 Chubu
(8/20)
Under 10 years old woman Mie Prefecture Philippines Asymptomatic
3683 Narita
(8/20)
30s male Tokyo Moldova Asymptomatic
3684 Narita
(8/20)
30s woman Niigata Prefecture Kenya Asymptomatic
3685 Haneda
(8/20)
20’s male Tokyo United States of America Asymptomatic
3686 Haneda
(8/20)
Forties male Tokyo Azerbaijan Asymptomatic
3687 Narita
(8/20)
Forties male Tokyo Lesotho Asymptomatic
3688 Narita
(8/20)
Forties male Tokyo Lesotho Asymptomatic
3689 Kansai
International Airport (8/20)
50s male Saitama Pakistan Asymptomatic
3690 Kansai
International Airport (8/20)
50s male Hiroshima Pakistan Asymptomatic
3691 Narita
(8/21)
60s male Chiba prefecture Mexico Sore throat
3692 Haneda
(8/21)
20’s male Undisclosed Indonesia Asymptomatic
3693 Haneda
(8/21)
20’s woman Undisclosed Indonesia Asymptomatic
3694 Haneda
(8/21)
20’s woman Undisclosed Indonesia Asymptomatic

*Currently, Japan is refusing to enter from India, Nepal, and Pakistan in principle as a countermeasure against Indian variant stain.

 

*Since the number of new infections in Tokyo seems to be almost the number of the previous day,

(Because the deadline for the number of new infections on the day is from 9:00 am the day before to 9:00 am on the day)

 

 

 

 

And also today, I will summarize some prefectures that have a high number of infected people, not just in the Tokyo area.

 

 

*** Saitama ***

New infections are [1875] people (*Max of up to yesterday=2170)

   →Saitama City    [395] person(s)
    Kawaguchi City [198] person(s)
    Koshigaya City  [86] person(s)
    Kawagoe City     [54] person(s)
    Other municipalities [1142] person(s)

 

(*東京新聞)

 

    * I’m sorry, but the number of people in Saitama by region comes out, but the details are often late or not come out on the day …

 

 


 

*** Kanagawa ***

New infections are [2705] people (*Max of up to yesterday=2878)

  ・Rich contacts         [853] people
  ・Unknown infection route [1852] people

(*東京新聞)

 

(Individual infection information)

 ・Licensed nursery school in Yokohama City
       *Today [5] person(s)/ Cumulative [8] person(s)

 ・ Support facility for persons with disabilities in Sagamihara City
       *Today [5] person(s) / Cumulative [68] person(s)

 ・ University in Yokosuka City
       *Today [+] person(s)/ Cumulative [22] person(s)

 

      *Among the infected people counted today, there are [5] cluster relationships, including the above… (Other than the above, addor less each)

 

 


 

*** Chiba ***

New infections are [1761] people (*Max of up to yesterday=1778)

(*東京新聞)

 

(Individual infection information)

 ・”Espero”, a health facility for the elderly in Abiko City
       *Today [new] person(s) / Cumulative [15] person(s)

 

 


 

*The following areas introduced until the other day will be excluded for a while.
 ①About “Osaka / Aichi / Okinawa / Hyogo / Kyoto”
   →I have summarized this for the past year, but the details of the infection rarely appear during the day.
 ②About “Hokkaido”
   →Infection is settling down

 


 

* Others At this time (20:00), it seems that more than 10 people have been confirmed to be infected in the following areas …

↓ Today, all areas other than “Worst 10”
▽ Kyoto Prefecture has 25,247 people (547)
▽ Ibaraki Prefecture has 18,008 people (365)
▽ Shizuoka Prefecture has 17,529 people (632)
▽ Hiroshima prefecture has 15,560 people (381)
▽ Miyagi Prefecture has 12,948 people (273)
▽ Gunma prefecture has 12,594 people (325)
▽ Gifu Prefecture has 12,448 people (345)
▽ Tochigi Prefecture has 11,560 people (244)
▽ Okayama Prefecture has 11,366 people (251)
▽ Nara Prefecture has 11,223 people (188)
▽ Kumamoto Prefecture has 10,425 people (247)
▽ Mie Prefecture has 8795 people (427)
▽ Shiga Prefecture has 8787 people (230)
▽ Fukushima Prefecture has 7884 people (109)
▽ Nagano Prefecture has 6976 people (150)
▽ Ishikawa Prefecture has 6698 people (69)
▽ Kagoshima Prefecture has 6615 people (231)
▽ Niigata Prefecture has 5768 people (127)
▽ Oita Prefecture has 5449 people (215)
▽ Nagasaki Prefecture has 4656 people (86)
▽ Miyazaki Prefecture has 4433 people (158)
▽ Yamaguchi Prefecture has 4294 people (86)
▽ Saga Prefecture has 4260 people (122)
▽ Ehime Prefecture has 4075 people (69)
▽ Wakayama Prefecture has 3902 people (80)
▽ Yamanashi Prefecture has 3788 people (87)
▽ Toyama Prefecture has 3631 people (132)
▽ Aomori Prefecture has 3541 people (83)
▽ Kagawa Prefecture has 3495 people (90)
▽ Yamagata Prefecture has 2822 people (69)
▽ Kochi Prefecture has 2684 people (87)
▽ Iwate Prefecture has 2678 people (25)
▽ Fukui Prefecture has 2192 people (30)
▽ Tokushima Prefecture has 2168 people (54)
▽ Akita Prefecture has 1364 people (36)
▽ Tottori prefecture has 1226 people (26)
▽ Shimane Prefecture has 1063 people (17)

 

*Graph of the number of newly infected people in Japan as of yesterday

(* This bar graph is up to the previous day, so today’s red bar (handwritten) is on the far right, but it’s about this …)

※NHKの新型コロナウイルス感染症対策サイトより

(*”Since the graph shows only the numbers up to the previous day, I handwritten the rightmost bar, but this is about it!”)

 


 

(*NHK NEWS WEB)

 

 

 

 

 

<Summary of today’s “Major News Related to COVID-19 in Japan”>

 

 

 

Areas subject to “Emergency declaration” and “Priority measures such as prevention of spread”

State of emergency
Target area : Tokyo, Okinawa, Saitama, Kanagawa, Chiba, Osaka
           Ibaraki, Tochigi, Gunma, Shizuoka, Kyoto, Hyogo, Fukuoka

Priority measures such as prevention of spread
Target area : Hokkaido, Ishikawa, Fukushima, Aichi, Shiga, Kumamoto
           Miyagi, Yamanashi, Toyama, Gifu, Mie, Okayama, Hiroshima, Kagawa, Ehime, Kagoshima

●Period: August 2nd to August 31st → Extended to September 12th

 

 

(*4府県“宣言”追加 5道府県“まん延防止”適用を決定 政府 – NHK)
(まん延防止等重点措置 きょうから拡大 不要不急の外出自粛を – NHK)
(*東京新聞)

 

 


 

 

 

↑It seems that Aichi Prefecture in the “Priority Measures for Prevention of Spread” area is also requesting the government to apply the state of emergency …

Infection status in Aichi Prefecture↓

 

(*NHK)

 

So, it seems that the governors of the whole country are planning to recommend to the government, “Lock down now!” …!

“I can’t find any effect in the state of emergency”

“Requires consideration of measures such as lockdown many times”

 

Even if you think purely about the meaning of the words, it is unusual that the “state of emergency”, which should normally be used in a seriously dangerous situation such as “riot” or “war crisis”, but… now in Japan… it’s really meaningless…!

 


 

By the way, in such a situation … There was such data today!

Finally, data on the “effect of vaccination” has come out in Japan as well!

 

<Effect of vaccination on the number of infected people in Japan>

 

【Survey target】 57,293 people
         (=Number of infected people nationwide from August 10 to August 12)

 

【Result】 “Number of infected people who have completed vaccination”

*Number of new infections per 100,000 population
  Unvaccinated: 67.6 people
  1st time: 22.7 people
  Second time: 4.0 people

 

*Number of new infections per 100,000 population
 ・ Under 65 years old
   Unvaccinated: 69.7 people
   Second vaccinated: 7.4 people
 ·65 years of age or older
   Unvaccinated: 31.1 people
   Second vaccinated: 2.3 people

 

Basically it’s not very helpful, but … (dry laugh)
Well, it seems that the effect is coming out as it is!

 

(By the way … the reason why it is not so helpful)

①There are more people who have not been vaccinated yet, and the active younger generation (prone to infection) has hardly been vaccinated.
②The majority of people under the age of 65 who are vaccinated are “people who are vaccinated early because they are careful about infection control”.
③It is difficult to compare because the populations of vaccinated and unvaccinated people are different in the first place.

etc…

 


 

And the topic has changed … Yesterday and today, There is a hot topic that “to announce the name of the medical institution that does not accept COVID-19 patients”

While thinking, “No … there are various circumstances in the hospital …”
I started reading the news, but according to the article … the following facts were found.

「”The government subsidizes 170 medical institutions and 6000 beds in Tokyo with a maximum of 19.5 million yen as a” secured bed for COVID-19 measures “.”

“But it’s currently tight with a usage rate of about 3000 beds.”

“We think there are hospitals that receive only subsidies and do not accept COVID-19 patients.”

“When they actually interviewed the hospital, the acceptance record of that hospital increased after that.”

 

Hmm … I’m suspicious when I hear that …

 

What will happen to the result … I’m curious …!

 


 

By the way, it’s also been a little talked about recently,

The problem that “The test ability in Tokyo is actually 26,000 MAX, isn’t it?”

 

Various news sites have calculated that “the current positive rate is about 20%, so if 26,000 cases are MAX, the number of infected people is limited to 5,000?”

 

And alsoiIt seems that the Tokyo Metropolitan Health and Welfare Bureau also responded to the interview that “the number of inspections that can actually be performed per day is about 26,000.”

 

However…↓

 

 

The data remains properly …

You guys haven’t tested 26,000 at all … why are you lying …

 

The tests at facilities for the elderly may be counted separately, but (as far as I can check), the highest number of tests in Tokyo is 24187.

Moreover, only one day.

 

By the way, even with my data …

 

Number of tests in Tokyo

(*What the Tokyo Metropolitan Government reports as “the number of tests 3 days ago” every day.
Actually, there are medical institutions that report late, and it seems that the number may increase by a little less than 1000 to 2000).

 

↑No matter how much it increases after that, the average number of cases per day will not be 26,000 …

 

By the way, a rough calculation shows that
the total number of tests is 254,463 in a total of 20 days from August 1st to August 19th,
with an average of 12,700 per day!

On the other hand, the number of infected people during that period is …
From August 1st to August 19th, the total number of infections is 83,481 in 20 days, and
the average daily number is 4,174!

 

That means … the positive rate is about 33% …
(Rather, it is a mystery how Tokyo gives a positive rate of 22% …)



 

And … If they can test 26,000 cases on Sundays, it seems that they can test about twice as much as the current average of 12,700 cases a day, so if the positive rate remains the same, the number of infected people will also increase double? About 8000 people!

Oh, 10,000 people have come into view!

 

 

… Hey … It’s about time someone stopped me …
I’m getting sick while calculating … lol

 

 

I don’t want to see the news that “10,000 people are infected today in Tokyo”!  🙁

 

 

 


 

And this article↓

acertainfox512.hatenablog.com

How long time the materials such as paper, cloth, plastic, etc. need to eliminating the risk when coronavirus is attached, and how effective disinfection is.
If you are interested, please take a look!

 

Also, for “Does the vaccine work for mutant strains?”, See this table ↓

イギリス株やインド株にもワクチンは“90%以上有効”  – Youtube(MBS news)
ファイザー製ワクチン ブラジル株に効果期待 東大らのグループ – NHK

Is the vaccine effective against mutant strains? (*unit : %)
Number of vaccinations Conventional  British South african Brazilian California  NY Indian  Unknown 
Once 57 18 21 16 39 55 37 34
Twice 99 94 90 94 97 98 97 97

 


 

 

 

And here’s a trial calculation of how many people in Japan are actually receiving medical treatment.

 

 

 

 

(If it is exactly as announced)

For those who are undergoing medical treatment nationwide are…

these days it’s been declining significantly on most days, but…

 

 

 

In Kanagawa, the number of newly infected people per day has reached 3,000 …
Tokyo is also wandering around with 5000 people, but it can see 6000 people or not…

 

The number of infected people has increased considerably in various places, so I may summarize it tomorrow …

 

“The club of ‘2000 newly infected people’ is here!”

↑… Wow, this title … (dry laugh)

 

 

 

 

 

Please be careful when you go out!

 

 

 

 

 

AcertainFox512

 

 

 

Changes in New Coronavirus Infection in Tokyo

 

Jun
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Total
471 487 508 472 436 3082
351 235 369 440 439 435 467 2736
304 209 337 501 452 453 388 2644
376 236 435 619 570 562 534 3332
386 317 476 714 3942
Jul
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Total
673 660 716 3942
518 342 593 920 896 822 950 5041
614 502 830 1149 1308 1271 1410 7084
1008 707 1387 1832 1979 1359 1128 9400
1763 1429 2848 3177 3865 3300 4058 20440
Aug
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Total
3058 2195 3709 4166 5042 4515 4566 27251
4066 2884 2612 4200 4989 5773 5094 29618
4295 2962 4377 5386 5534 5405 5074 33033

 

 *Unit: person (number of infected people on that day)

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